But just how true is the concept of “fade the public?” Let’s dive in and take a look at some statistical analysis from 2017 to see if this concept really holds true. In the NFL, I was able to gather public consensus picks and percentages in the regular season from November 19th, 2017 forward. Now the obvious caveat: this is clearly a limited sample size as it is only taking in the final 6 weeks of the regular season (this is when I began tracking the data), however, it does give us 86 games, a good number of occurrences to test the theory of fading the public...

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